Question

How are random events taken into consideration during both hindsight bias and overconfidence?

Answer 1

The hindsight bias and overconfidence, plus our eagerness to perceive patterns in random events, can cause tendencies that may lead us to overestimate our intuition. Intuition and intellect are not always accurate, therefore these factors are not trustworthy compared to scientific facts or scientific inquiry which can help us overcome our intuition’s biases and shortcomings.